Gradual implementation · An illustrative model

Make the transfer
of authority visible.

Count participation. Record the mandate. Check delivery.

This model describes how a protected advisory process can gain defined responsibilities. The formulas keep the commitments and results clear. They do not predict political consent, prove that a government will cooperate, or measure how democratic an entire country is.

Read the four-step approach  ·  Try the example  ·  Read the maths

Three separate questions

A voice. A mandate. A result.

Participation

Who can take part, who does take part, and who is missing? An open website does not automatically represent everyone.

Authority

Which decisions have been validly delegated in advance? Record the scope and legal instrument, even when no decision has yet been made.

Delivery

Which decisions have been carried out? Separate completed, pending, overdue, disputed, and lawfully revised outcomes.

Conditions for each expansion

Grow when the next step is ready.

For a proposed new responsibility, publish evidence for five conditions. Independent reviewers assess it against rules agreed before the result is known. Participants can challenge the assessment.

F · Freedoms protected
A person's own thoughts are always free. Inquiry, discussion, and memory that can affect democratic decisions remain protected, including dissent and evidence of state violence. Rules for other activities and AI capabilities preserve that input and can be challenged. See the proposed protections and test cases.
P · Participation is legitimate
The eligible public and decision rule are agreed; access, exclusion, minority rights, and any turnout requirements are addressed. A self-selected poll is not assumed to speak for everyone.
I · Process has integrity
Eligibility, unique voting, privacy, accessible alternatives, accurate records, AI assistance, and appeals pass the published assessment.
L · Delegation is valid
The competent authority has authorised the specific next responsibility through the required procedure, including legislation or constitutional change where necessary.
C · Delivery has backing
Budget, staff, responsible institutions, and remedies exist. Institutions that control execution can and will honour the commitment, including outcomes they dislike.

All five are required. Strong software cannot compensate for unsafe participation. Popular support cannot substitute for a valid delegation. Missing evidence means expansion is not cleared.

A failed condition pauses new delegation under this proposal. It does not automatically cancel existing legal authority. An existing failure needs investigation, protection, and the applicable review process.

Explore a fixed €1 million budget

What changes when authority grows?

Invented inputs for one budget and one assessment period. Change the mandate, delivery, and proposed expansion independently. This is accounting for a scenario, not a forecast or a live vote.

Worked example: 20% of €1 million is €200,000 delegated. If decisions covering 80% of that allocation are implemented, the result covers €160,000, or 16% of the total. A valid additional delegation of 10 percentage points raises the mandate to 30%, or €300,000.

100% means the whole selected budget has been delegated. It does not mean the whole government is democratic. Actual expenditure and the quality of outcomes need separate accounts.

Definitions, formulas, and limits

The maths behind the process

1. How does a mandate expand?

Let A be the fraction of a fixed budget already delegated, and Δ the proposed additional fraction of that same total. Both lie between 0 and 1. Let each condition F, P, I, L, C be 1 only when evidenced for this expansion, and 0 otherwise. Unknown or disputed evidence is not treated as a pass.

G = F × P × I × L × C
Anext = A + G × min(Δ, 1 − A)

If every condition passes, the proposed addition is counted, capped at the remaining budget. Otherwise Anext = A. The values express a proposed decision rule, not a scientific score or a probability of democratic transition.

The formula records an actual authorised step. Repeating it does not create new authority by itself. Each new step requires a new assessment and authorisation. If authority is later lawfully changed or revoked, record that change explicitly; progress is not assumed to be irreversible.

2. How much has actually been implemented?

For a fixed budget B, let d be the fraction of the delegated allocation whose agreed decisions have been implemented by the assessment date.

Delegated value = B × A
Implemented value = B × A × d

Define completion and evidence before measuring. Track each allocation once; split partially completed work into agreed milestones rather than assigning an unexplained score. Pending, overdue, disputed, and lawfully revised decisions should be reported separately.

This measures the budget value governed through implemented decisions. It does not measure money actually spent, outcomes achieved, or the legitimacy of those decisions. A high delivery rate cannot compensate for violations of the foundation.

If d is unknown, report it as unknown. If evidence only establishes a range dlow ≤ d ≤ dhigh, the implemented value lies between BA dlow and BA dhigh. Do not replace missing evidence with zero or a confident estimate.

3. What does an online vote tell us?

For a simple yes/no example, let N be the eligible population, n the number of unique eligible people casting a valid yes/no ballot, and y the yes ballots. Require 0 ≤ y ≤ n ≤ N and N > 0.

Valid-ballot participation = n / N
Support among valid ballots = y / n
Recorded support among all eligible people = y / N

With 10,000 eligible people, 4,000 valid ballots, and 2,400 yes votes: participation is 40%, support among valid ballots is 60%, and recorded yes votes cover 24% of the eligible population. Non-voters’ preferences are unknown. Neither 60% nor 24% estimates society-wide support from this self-selected vote.

With no valid ballots, support among ballots is undefined. Report abstentions and invalid ballots separately. More complex voting systems need their own published rules. Any majority threshold, turnout rule, delegation system, electorate, and rights review must be decided before the vote. AI never adds a participant or a ballot.

Even a valid majority does not create legal authority outside the process’s mandate. Conversely, a legitimate vote can be binding under its agreed rules without every eligible person voting.

4. How do separate local processes add up?

For distinct, non-overlapping budget allocations Bj, each with delegated fraction aj and implementation fraction dj:

A = Σ(Bj aj) / ΣBj
E = Σ(Bj aj dj) / ΣBj

A is the delegated share of the combined budget. E is the implemented share. The denominator must be positive. Keep the budget scope, period, currency basis, and boundaries fixed for comparisons; document any change. Do not count the same allocation again at municipal, regional, and national levels.

For example, delegating all of one €100,000 allocation and none of a separate €900,000 allocation gives 10% overall, not 50%. The unweighted average would hide their different sizes.

Some powers—courts, rights, appointments, constitutional amendments—cannot sensibly be weighted in euros. Report their mandates separately. Any broader weighting scheme is a political choice that needs justification; it is not a universal measure of democracy.

5. Where does existing power enter the model?

For each responsibility, identify who controls its legal authority, budget, staff, infrastructure, and execution. Document the enforceable commitments that connect these actors to the agreed decision. Identify unresolved dependencies and who could prevent implementation.

This is the basis of conditions L and C. Historical delivery is evidence, but cannot prove future compliance. A government’s acceptance of proposals it likes is insufficient evidence that it will honour a delegated result it opposes.

The model does not turn military strength, wealth, or platform membership into extra votes. A legitimate rule for jurisdictions, representation, and power-sharing still needs to be agreed by the affected public and institutions. This is an unresolved design question, not a missing number a formula can invent.

6. How would an EU pilot test the proposal?

Before starting, publish the scope, electorate, decision rule, baseline, measures, review dates, and expansion criteria. Compare the process with the existing way of making similar decisions where a fair comparison is possible.

Measure access and exclusion, understanding of alternatives, correction of AI errors, cost and time, privacy and security incidents, institutional responses, and implementation. Let independent evaluators and participants challenge the findings.

Success permits consideration of a defined next step. It does not require expansion, establish a universal rollout speed, or demonstrate that another country will follow the same path. No real-world values or success probabilities have yet been established for this model.